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Le Puy-en-Velay vs Caen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Puy-en-Velay host Caen in the Ligue 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Le Puy-en-Velay at 1.24 goals for, 1.21 against; Caen at 1.79 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Le Puy-en-Velay have won 1 to Caen's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Caen. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Le Puy-en-Velay
15%
Draws
48%
Caen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Caen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Le Puy-en-Velay taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 20%
Caen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Puy-en-Velay Caen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Caen
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 Ligue 3
Caen vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Puy-en-Velay 42 / 100
Caen 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Puy-en-Velay Caen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Puy-en-Velay scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Caen let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Le Puy-en-Velay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Puy-en-Velay VS Caen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
Page 1 of 6

Caen

(Away)
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2
Rouen
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)