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Le Puy-en-Velay vs Dijon

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
0 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Puy-en-Velay play Dijon in the Club Friendly. Dijon are favorites here. Recently, Le Puy-en-Velay averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Dijon averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. In past meetings, Le Puy-en-Velay won 0, Dijon won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Le Puy-en-Velay and 1.00 for Dijon. This points to a Dijon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Le Puy-en-Velay
25%
Draws
60%
Dijon
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Le Puy-en-Velay picked up more points recently compared to Dijon.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 23%
Dijon Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Puy-en-Velay Dijon
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.43 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Dijon
1:2
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:0
Jul 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Dijon vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:0
Jul 19, 2017 Club Friendly
Dijon vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Puy-en-Velay 18 / 100
Dijon 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Puy-en-Velay Dijon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dijon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Dijon & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Le Puy-en-Velay attacking → ← attacking Dijon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Puy-en-Velay scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Dijon let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Le Puy-en-Velay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dijon lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 56
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13