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Le Puy-en-Velay vs Dijon Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Diouf W.
Assist: Barreto M.
46'
Sub
Hamada B. In: Obongo C.
Out: Hamada B.
53'
Obongo C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Le Puy-en-Velay and Dijon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dijon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Le Puy-en-Velay
30%
Draws
47%
Dijon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dijon come out ahead of Le Puy-en-Velay on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 20%
Dijon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Puy-en-Velay Dijon
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.19 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Dijon
1:1
May 9, 2026 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Dijon
1:2
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:0
Jul 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Dijon vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:0
Jul 19, 2017 Club Friendly
Dijon vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Darnaud A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Diouf W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barreto M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Puy-en-Velay 32 / 100
Dijon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Puy-en-Velay Dijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Puy-en-Velay found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Dijon let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Le Puy-en-Velay remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Puy-en-Velay VS Dijon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Home)
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
29 Aug
Cannes
2 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
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Dijon

(Away)
02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2
Troyes
18 Sept
Annecy
1 : 2
Dijon
11 Sept
Dijon
3 : 2
Laval
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury 91 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)