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Stadium Background

Le Puy-en-Velay vs Fleury-Merogis

France France

National 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Vogt Q.
28'
Belliard M.
32'
Nsingi P.

AI Match Summary

Le Puy-en-Velay in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Le Puy-en-Velay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Le Puy-en-Velay
28%
Draws
22%
Fleury-Merogis
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Le Puy-en-Velay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Le Puy-en-Velay lately — more wins on the board than Fleury-Merogis.
  • Win probability leans Le Puy-en-Velay's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 68%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Puy-en-Velay Fleury-Merogis
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury-Merogis vs Le Puy-en-Velay
4:0
Dec 12, 2025 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Fleury-Merogis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Adelaide M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Hervieu L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Puy-en-Velay 59 / 100
Fleury-Merogis 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Puy-en-Velay Fleury-Merogis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Fleury-Merogis registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fleury-Merogis has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Le Puy-en-Velay VS Fleury-Merogis
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Home)
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Dijon
15 May
Sochaux
2 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
09 May
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 2
Dijon
01 May
Fleury-Merogis
4 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 6

Fleury-Merogis

(Away)
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
11 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 5
Nantes
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)