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Stadium Background

Le Puy-en-Velay vs Thionville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Atangana J.
12'
Sub
Moustaid J. In: Siat V.
Out: Moustaid J.
32'
Bouhmidi K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Le Puy-en-Velay and Thionville finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Puy-en-Velay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Le Puy-en-Velay
30%
Draws
16%
Thionville
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Le Puy-en-Velay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Thionville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Le Puy-en-Velay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 20%
Thionville Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Puy-en-Velay Thionville
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Thionville
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsingi P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Thionville Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Puy-en-Velay 85 / 100
Thionville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Puy-en-Velay Thionville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Puy-en-Velay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Puy-en-Velay found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Thionville has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Le Puy-en-Velay has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Thionville registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Puy-en-Velay VS Thionville
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
Page 1 of 6

Thionville

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)