Sport Picks
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Villefranche - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 3 Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel 
Match Events
7'
7'
Onambele F. O.
Assist: Diakite A.
18'
18'
Kouassi E.
Assist: Fatahine A.
22'
22'
Gauthier A.
Assist: Mroivili R.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 3 game between Le Puy-en-Velay and Villefranche finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Puy-en-Velay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Puy-en-Velay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Le Puy-en-Velay come out ahead of Villefranche on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Le Puy-en-Velay's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 68%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Le Puy-en-Velay | Villefranche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Villefranche
4:1
Mar 20, 2026 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:3
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Villefranche
3:0
Jul 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Villefranche vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:1
Feb 24, 2023 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Le Puy-en-Velay
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Le Puy-en-Velay Compare
Top Goalscorer Kouassi E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gauthier A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Villefranche Compare
Top Goalscorer Onambele F. O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Le Puy-en-Velay 95 / 100
Villefranche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Le Puy-en-Velay Villefranche
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Le Puy-en-Velay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Le Puy-en-Velay's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: Villefranche conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Le Puy-en-Velay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Le Puy-en-Velay VS Villefranche
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Le Puy-en-Velay
(Home) 03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0 Thionville
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1 Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1 Orleans
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0 Thionville
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1 Villefranche
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1 Orleans
20 Aug
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0 Amiens SC
11 Jul
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1 Dijon
Page 1 of 3
Villefranche
(Away) 03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0 Villefranche
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2 Versailles
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1 Villefranche
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0 La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1 Villefranche
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0 Villefranche
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1 Villefranche
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1 Villefranche
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0 Villefranche
07 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
3 : 2 Villefranche
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg Peronnas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
