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Lealtad vs Barcia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Vina A.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Vina A.

AI Match Summary

Lealtad in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lealtad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lealtad
20%
Draws
64%
Barcia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Lealtad have won more games recently than Barcia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 68%
Barcia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lealtad Barcia
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.19 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Barcia
2:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Barcia vs Lealtad
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lealtad Compare

Top Goalscorer Vina A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Barcia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lealtad 41 / 100
Barcia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lealtad Barcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lealtad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcia has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Lealtad's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Barcia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lealtad VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lealtad

(Home)
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2
Coruxo FC
19 Apr
UD Ourense
3 : 1
Lealtad
12 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 8

Barcia

(Away)
11 May
Tuilla
2 : 2
Barcia
04 May
Barcia
1 : 0
Gijon B
01 May
Condal
2 : 0
Barcia
28 Apr
Barcia
3 : 4
CD Colunga
21 Apr
Real Titanico
3 : 1
Barcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)