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Lealtad vs Burgos CF B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
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Match Events

50' Event
Hernaiz D.
56' Event
Hernaiz D.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Lealtad and Burgos CF B finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burgos CF B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lealtad
20%
Draws
57%
Burgos CF B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burgos CF B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lealtad haven't matched Burgos CF B's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Burgos CF B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 16%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lealtad Burgos CF B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Burgos CF B
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Burgos CF B vs Lealtad
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lealtad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Burgos CF B Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernaiz D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lealtad 15 / 100
Burgos CF B 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lealtad Burgos CF B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lealtad scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Burgos CF B conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lealtad has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lealtad VS Burgos CF B
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lealtad

(Home)
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1
Llanes
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0
Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
Page 1 of 6

Burgos CF B

(Away)
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)