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Lealtad vs CD Puertollano

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014
Sun, May 25, 2014
2 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lealtad in this Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lealtad
30%
Draws
47%
CD Puertollano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Puertollano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lealtad haven't matched CD Puertollano's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on CD Puertollano taking it.
  • CD Puertollano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lealtad, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 20%
CD Puertollano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lealtad CD Puertollano
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2014 Tercera Division - Play Offs
Lealtad vs CD Puertollano
2:0
May 18, 2014 Tercera Division - Play Offs
CD Puertollano vs Lealtad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lealtad 28 / 100
CD Puertollano 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lealtad CD Puertollano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Puertollano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lealtad's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Puertollano conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Lealtad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lealtad VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lealtad

(Home)
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

CD Puertollano

(Away)
17 May
CD Puertollano
5 : 0
Daimiel
10 May
Mora CF
3 : 0
CD Puertollano
03 May
CD Puertollano
0 : 0
Madridejos
26 Apr
Villarrubia
1 : 1
CD Puertollano
19 Apr
CD Puertollano
2 : 1
Toledo 2
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Varea 1
Leioa 7
UCAM Murcia 3
Betis B 2
Valladolid Promesas 4
Somozas 3
Eldense 2
Marbella 3
Trival Valderas 2
Zaragoza B 4
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 1
Villanovense 4
Mallorca B 4
Atletico Granadilla 1
Izarra 2
Cornella 4
CD Puertollano 1
Lealtad 2