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Lealtad vs Club Siero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Agbor M.
53'
Sanchez P.
89' Event
Blanco Suarez M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Lealtad and Club Siero finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lealtad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Lealtad
15%
Draws
16%
Club Siero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lealtad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Club Siero have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Lealtad are scoring more at 1.23.
  • Lealtad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 20%
Club Siero Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lealtad Club Siero
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Club Siero
3:0
Mar 7, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Club Siero
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Club Siero vs Lealtad
0:3
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Club Siero vs Lealtad
0:0
Nov 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Club Siero
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lealtad Compare

Top Goalscorer Agbor M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blanco Suarez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Club Siero Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lealtad 85 / 100
Club Siero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lealtad Club Siero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lealtad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lealtad went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lealtad's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Club Siero conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Club Siero has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lealtad VS Club Siero
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lealtad

(Home)
31 Oct
Lealtad
3 : 0
Club Siero
25 Oct
CD Colunga
0 : 4
Lealtad
18 Oct
Lealtad
0 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
10 Oct
Langreo
0 : 1
Lealtad
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0
Aviles Stadium
Page 1 of 6

Club Siero

(Away)
31 Oct
Lealtad
3 : 0
Club Siero
24 Oct
Club Siero
1 : 2
Gijon B
18 Oct
Praviano
4 : 1
Club Siero
10 Oct
Club Siero
3 : 0
L Entregu CF
04 Oct
Covadonga
2 : 1
Club Siero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 9 6 2 1 23:9 20
2 Gijon B 9 6 2 1 16:8 20
3 Caudal Deportivo 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
4 Lealtad 9 5 2 2 13:4 17
5 Condal 9 4 5 0 12:4 17
6 CD Mosconia 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
7 EI San Martin 9 4 3 2 13:13 15
8 Praviano 9 4 2 3 21:14 14
9 Gijon Industrial 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
10 Club Siero 9 4 0 5 11:12 12
11 CD Colunga 9 3 3 3 15:21 12
12 Langreo 9 2 3 4 8:11 9
13 Union Club Ceares 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
14 Aviles Stadium 9 2 2 5 6:13 8
15 Llanes 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
16 Astur 9 0 5 4 9:15 5
17 L Entregu CF 9 1 2 6 5:17 5
18 Andes CF 9 0 3 6 6:18 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)