Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 game between Lealtad and Luarca finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lealtad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Lealtad come out ahead of Luarca on wins alone.
- Model gives Lealtad a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lealtad have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lealtad | Luarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lealtad Compare
Luarca Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Luarca conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Luarca's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Lealtad scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lealtad
(Home)Luarca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanera | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 105:25 | 87 |
| 2 | Gijon B | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 61:15 | 71 |
| 3 | Lealtad | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53:25 | 65 |
| 4 | Union Club Ceares | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 52:30 | 65 |
| 5 | L Entregu CF | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:32 | 63 |
| 6 | Praviano | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 34:26 | 55 |
| 7 | Tuilla | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 56:43 | 52 |
| 8 | Basico Urraca | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 33:35 | 44 |
| 9 | Caudal Deportivo | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 35:35 | 43 |
| 10 | CD Colunga | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 38:44 | 41 |
| 11 | Lenense | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 32:45 | 38 |
| 12 | Aviles Stadium | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:43 | 36 |
| 13 | Real Titanico | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 43:63 | 36 |
| 14 | Condal | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 28:49 | 36 |
| 15 | Llanes | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 36:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Gijon Industrial | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 36:67 | 30 |
| 17 | Luarca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 38:75 | 25 |
| 18 | Barcia | 34 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 26:81 | 13 |
