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Lealtad vs Praviano

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Nistal M.
33' Event
Garcia Beberide S.
82' Event
Estrada I.

AI Match Summary

Praviano in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Praviano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lealtad
15%
Draws
59%
Praviano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Praviano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lealtad haven't matched Praviano's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 11%
Praviano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lealtad Praviano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Praviano
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Praviano
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Lealtad
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Lealtad
1:2
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Praviano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lealtad Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Praviano Compare

Top Goalscorer Nistal M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia Beberide S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lealtad 30 / 100
Praviano 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lealtad Praviano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Praviano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lealtad scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Praviano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Lealtad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lealtad VS Praviano
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lealtad

(Home)
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2
Coruxo FC
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Praviano

(Away)
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
Praviano
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Praviano
1 : 2
L Entregu CF
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
25 Apr
Praviano
1 : 0
CD Mosconia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gijon B 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Covadonga 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
3 CD Mosconia 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
4 Condal 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
5 CD Colunga 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
6 Club Siero 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
7 Caudal Deportivo 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
8 Gijon Industrial 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Union Club Ceares 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 L Entregu CF 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Praviano 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
12 Lealtad 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
13 Aviles Stadium 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
14 Langreo 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
15 Llanes 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
16 Andes CF 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
17 Astur 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 EI San Martin 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)