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Leamington vs Kettering Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Brown B.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central game between Leamington and Kettering finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kettering.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Leamington
20%
Draws
51%
Kettering
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kettering

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kettering come out ahead of Leamington on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kettering a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Leamington Clean Sheet 10%
Kettering Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leamington Kettering
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leamington vs Kettering
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Leamington
0:0
Nov 7, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Leamington vs Kettering
2:1
Apr 10, 2023 National League North
Kettering vs Leamington
3:0
Sep 13, 2022 National League North
Leamington vs Kettering
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leamington Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Kettering Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leamington 18 / 100
Kettering 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leamington Kettering

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kettering Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leamington scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Leamington remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kettering's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leamington VS Kettering
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Leamington

(Home)
03 Oct
Leamington
4 : 0
Hitchin
29 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 1
Leamington
26 Sept
Quorn
4 : 2
Leamington
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0
Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1
Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6

Kettering

(Away)
03 Oct
Kettering
1 : 3
Worcester
29 Sept
Kettering
4 : 1
Anstey Nomads
26 Sept
Matlock
0 : 4
Kettering
22 Sept
Rushall
3 : 2
Kettering
19 Sept
Kettering
2 : 0
Quorn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)