Sport Picks
Match Events
47'
47'
Gelpi M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera C game between Leandro N. Alem and CA Lugano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Lugano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Lugano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Leandro N. Alem haven't matched CA Lugano's recent run of results.
- CA Lugano are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Leandro N. Alem Clean Sheet 16%
CA Lugano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leandro N. Alem | CA Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs CA Lugano
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Leandro N. Alem
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs CA Lugano
0:0
May 11, 2025 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Leandro N. Alem
0:2
Jul 6, 2024 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs CA Lugano
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leandro N. Alem Compare
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
CA Lugano Compare
Top Goalscorer Gelpi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leandro N. Alem 11 / 100
CA Lugano 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leandro N. Alem CA Lugano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CA Lugano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Leandro N. Alem scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: CA Lugano conceded in 43% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Leandro N. Alem stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leandro N. Alem VS CA Lugano
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Leandro N. Alem
(Home) 12 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
0 : 0 Leandro N. Alem
06 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
4 : 1 Leandro N. Alem
30 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 3 Puerto Nuevo
25 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 2 Juventud Unida San Miguel
22 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 CA Lugano
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 3 Puerto Nuevo
25 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 2 Juventud Unida San Miguel
22 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 CA Lugano
12 Jul
Leandro N. Alem
2 : 0 Argentino de Rosario
28 Jun
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 1 Berazategui
Page 1 of 3
CA Lugano
(Away) 12 Sept
CA Lugano
0 : 0 Leones de Rosario
06 Sept
Puerto Nuevo
0 : 1 CA Lugano
31 Aug
CA Lugano
1 : 1 Berazategui
22 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 CA Lugano
16 Aug
CA Lugano
1 : 2 Club Lujan
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Puerto Nuevo
0 : 1 CA Lugano
22 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 CA Lugano
31 Jul
Defensores de Cambaceres
1 : 2 CA Lugano
12 Jul
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 0 CA Lugano
27 Jun
Sacachispas
0 : 1 CA Lugano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 32:22 | 46 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 32:21 | 45 |
| 3 | CA Lugano | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 32:24 | 45 |
| 4 | CSR Espanol | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 35:27 | 41 |
| 5 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 34:28 | 41 |
| 6 | Estrella Del Sur | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 29:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Mercedes | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 28:23 | 40 |
| 8 | Puerto Nuevo | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 27:30 | 38 |
| 9 | Victoriano Arenas | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 21:18 | 37 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 25:28 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 21:37 | 30 |
| 12 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 29 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 14:23 | 29 |
| 13 | Leandro N. Alem | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 27:50 | 28 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 29 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 26:37 | 24 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Lujan | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43:22 | 55 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 34:20 | 51 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:23 | 45 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:21 | 42 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 28 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 21:15 | 42 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 31:27 | 38 |
| 8 | CSD Central Ballester | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:27 | 37 |
| 9 | El Porvenir | 28 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 23:25 | 36 |
| 10 | Atlas | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 22:25 | 36 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 32:32 | 34 |
| 12 | Claypole | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 13 | Fenix | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20:28 | 28 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 17:32 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
