Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leandro N. Alem vs Deportivo Paraguayo

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gonzalez Lopez R.
(Penalty)
34' Event
Gonzalez Lopez R.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Ramirez G.

AI Match Summary

The Primera C game between Leandro N. Alem and Deportivo Paraguayo finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leandro N. Alem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Leandro N. Alem
33%
Draws
27%
Deportivo Paraguayo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Leandro N. Alem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leandro N. Alem come out ahead of Deportivo Paraguayo on wins alone.
  • Leandro N. Alem are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Leandro N. Alem Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Paraguayo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leandro N. Alem Deportivo Paraguayo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Deportivo Paraguayo
4:2
Sep 16, 2024 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem
2:2
Apr 14, 2024 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Deportivo Paraguayo
1:1
Apr 4, 2017 Primera D
Leandro N. Alem vs Deportivo Paraguayo
3:0
Sep 26, 2016 Primera D
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leandro N. Alem Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendiburu G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Deportivo Paraguayo Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leandro N. Alem 50 / 100
Deportivo Paraguayo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leandro N. Alem Deportivo Paraguayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Leandro N. Alem found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Deportivo Paraguayo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Leandro N. Alem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leandro N. Alem VS Deportivo Paraguayo
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leandro N. Alem

(Home)
27 Jul
Sacachispas
1 : 1
Leandro N. Alem
18 Jul
Canuelas
1 : 0
Leandro N. Alem
12 Jul
Leandro N. Alem
2 : 0
Argentino de Rosario
04 Jul
Estrella Del Sur
3 : 0
Leandro N. Alem
28 Jun
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 1
Berazategui
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Paraguayo

(Away)
25 Jul
Estrella Del Sur
1 : 0
Deportivo Paraguayo
11 Jul
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 : 1
Berazategui
05 Jul
Victoriano Arenas
0 : 0
Deportivo Paraguayo
27 Jun
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 : 2
CSR Espanol
13 Jun
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 : 0
Justo Jose de Urquiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacachispas20105525:1535
2Mercedes2188522:1132
3Berazategui2088423:1532
4CA Lugano2188525:1932
5Estrella Del Sur2087522:1731
6CSR Espanol2086626:1830
7Puerto Nuevo2179518:1930
8Victoriano Arenas21610517:1328
9Leandro N. Alem2176825:3427
10Juventud Unida San Miguel2067721:2025
11Defensores de Cambaceres2157916:2422
12Justo Jose de Urquiza2131179:1820
13Argentino de Rosario21212719:2618
14Deportivo Paraguayo20371010:2616
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Lujan20106425:1536
2Canuelas2199323:1336
3Deportivo Espanol21710418:1431
4Yupanqui2178625:2229
5Leones de Rosario2078519:1929
6General Lamadrid2178618:2029
7Sportivo Barracas2074922:2125
8El Porvenir20413315:1525
9Atlas2067716:1825
10Central Cordoba (Rosario)2058714:1523
11CSD Central Ballester20641019:2422
12Claypole2057815:2322
13Deportivo Muniz2149815:2021
14Fenix21561014:2221
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)