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Leatherhead vs Dorking Wanderers

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hogan N.
34' Event
Nikaj G.
36' Event
Nikaj G.

AI Match Summary

Leatherhead in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leatherhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Leatherhead
22%
Draws
18%
Dorking Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Leatherhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Dorking Wanderers have won more games recently than Leatherhead.
  • Model gives Leatherhead a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Leatherhead Clean Sheet 18%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leatherhead Dorking Wanderers
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Leatherhead vs Dorking Wanderers
3:2
Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Dorking Wanderers vs Leatherhead
5:1
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Leatherhead vs Dorking Wanderers
1:4
Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Dorking Wanderers vs Leatherhead
5:4
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Leatherhead vs Dorking Wanderers
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leatherhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Hogan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Igozouln A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikaj G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leatherhead 58 / 100
Dorking Wanderers 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leatherhead Dorking Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leatherhead found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Dorking Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Leatherhead went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leatherhead VS Dorking Wanderers
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leatherhead

(Home)
11 Jul
Leatherhead
3 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
10 Jan
Leatherhead
2 : 3
Horsham FC
13 Dec
Leatherhead
3 : 2
Harrow Borough
15 Nov
Leatherhead
2 : 0
Hampton & Richmond
25 Oct
Leatherhead
2 : 1
Canvey Island
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Dorking Wanderers

(Away)
11 Jul
Leatherhead
3 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
04 Jul
Bognor Regis
0 : 1
Dorking Wanderers
02 May
Torquay
4 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
29 Apr
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 0
Maidenhead
25 Apr
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Dorking Wanderers
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