Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Championship U16 2012

Saudi Arabia U16

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lebanon U16 play Saudi Arabia U16 in the AFC Championship U16 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lebanon U16 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. Saudi Arabia U16 averaged 0.74 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. In past meetings, Lebanon U16 won 0, Saudi Arabia U16 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 14, 2011 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Lebanon U16 and 1.00 for Saudi Arabia U16. This points to a Lebanon U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Lebanon U16

16%

Draws

34%

Saudi Arabia U16

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Lebanon U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Lebanon U16 picked up more points recently compared to Saudi Arabia U16.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Lebanon U16 Clean Sheet 23%

Saudi Arabia U16 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lebanon U16	Saudi Arabia U16
Matches Played	16	27
Wins	3	2
Draws	1	6
Losses	12	19
Goals Scored	1.13	0.74
Goals Conceded	2.88	2.48
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2011 AFC Championship U16

Lebanon U16 vs Saudi Arabia U16

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U16 50 / 100

Saudi Arabia U16 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lebanon U16 Saudi Arabia U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lebanon U16 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lebanon U16 attacking → ← attacking Saudi Arabia U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U16 scored in 75% of their last 16 games.

Saudi Arabia U16 let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Lebanon U16 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Saudi Arabia U16 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 12

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U16	4	3	1	0	17:2	10
2	Iran U16	4	3	1	0	12:1	10
3	Qatar U16	4	2	0	2	9:6	6
4	Palestine U16	4	1	0	3	2:15	3
5	Bangladesh U16	4	0	0	4	0:16	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Yemen U16	5	4	1	0	15:2	13
2	Kuwait U16	5	4	0	1	14:3	12
3	United Arab Emirates U16	5	2	2	1	11:5	8
4	Pakistan U16	5	2	0	3	7:9	6
5	Afghanistan U16	5	1	1	3	11:10	4
6	Maldives U16	5	0	0	5	0:29	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uzbekistan U16	4	4	0	0	20:1	12
2	India U16	4	3	0	1	13:11	9
3	Bahrain U16	4	1	1	2	7:7	4
4	Tajikistan U16	4	1	1	2	6:8	4
5	Kyrgyzstan U16	4	0	0	4	1:20	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oman U16	3	2	0	1	4:4	6
2	Syria U16	3	2	0	1	5:3	6
3	Saudi Arabia U16	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
4	Nepal U16	3	0	1	2	1:5	1
5	Lebanon U16	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	North Korea U16	4	4	0	0	16:2	12
2	China U16	4	3	0	1	8:3	9
3	Singapore U16	4	1	1	2	10:6	4
4	Malaysia U16	4	1	1	2	5:7	4
5	Timor-Leste U16	4	0	0	4	3:24	0
6	Macau U16	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U16	5	4	0	1	21:6	12
2	South Korea U16	5	3	2	0	23:3	11
3	Laos U16	5	3	1	1	13:6	10
4	Vietnam U16	5	2	1	2	12:9	7
5	Cambodia U16	5	1	0	4	2:25	3
6	Chinese Taipei U16	5	0	0	5	1:23	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Thailand U16	5	5	0	28:6	15
2	Australia U16	5	4	1	22:5	12
3	Indonesia U16	5	3	2	26:10	9
4	Myanmar U16	5	2	3	13:14	6
5	Hong Kong U16	5	1	4	8:14	3
6	Guam U16	5	0	5	1:49	0