Sport Picks

Lebanon U23 vs Mongolia U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024

Lebanon U23

1 - 1

Mongolia U23

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Andersen F.

37'

Haidar M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Lebanon U23

15%

Draws

Mongolia U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lebanon U23 come out ahead of Mongolia U23 on wins alone.
Model gives Lebanon U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
Lebanon U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Lebanon U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Mongolia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lebanon U23	Mongolia U23
Matches Played	30	23
Wins	7	1
Draws	5	4
Losses	18	18
Goals Scored	1.2	0.65
Goals Conceded	1.87	3
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23

Lebanon U23 vs Mongolia U23

3:0

Sep 12, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23

Lebanon U23 vs Mongolia U23

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Mongolia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersen F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.28

Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U23 84 / 100

Mongolia U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lebanon U23 Mongolia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mongolia U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 23 matches.

Away concern: Mongolia U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lebanon U23 scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon U23 VS Mongolia U23

0.63 Goals Scored 0.43

2.38 Goals Conceded 3.86

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 86%

25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon U23

(Home)

13 Jan

Iran U23

0 : 1

Lebanon U23

10 Jan

Lebanon U23

2 : 4

South Korea U23

07 Jan

Uzbekistan U23

3 : 2

Lebanon U23

09 Sept

Lebanon U23

3 : 0

Mongolia U23

06 Sept

Lebanon U23

2 : 2

Thailand U23

Page 1 of 6

Mongolia U23

(Away)

09 Sept

Lebanon U23

3 : 0

Mongolia U23

06 Sept

Mongolia U23

0 : 7

Malaysia U23

03 Sept

Thailand U23

6 : 0

Mongolia U23

24 Sept

Iran U23

3 : 0

Mongolia U23

21 Sept

Mongolia U23

0 : 3

Saudi Arabia U23

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