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Lebanon U23 vs Palestine U23

World World

Friendly International 2025
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AI Match Summary

Lebanon U23 play Palestine U23 in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lebanon U23 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Palestine U23 averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Lebanon U23 won 1, Palestine U23 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 25, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Lebanon U23 and 1.63 for Palestine U23. This points to a Palestine U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lebanon U23
15%
Draws
52%
Palestine U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palestine U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Lebanon U23 picked up more points recently compared to Palestine U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Palestine U23 Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon U23 Palestine U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2025 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Palestine U23
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Palestine U23
0:3
Oct 6, 2021 WAFF Championship U23
Lebanon U23 vs Palestine U23
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U23 33 / 100
Palestine U23 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon U23 Palestine U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Palestine U23 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lebanon U23 attacking → ← attacking Palestine U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U23 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Palestine U23 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Lebanon U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Palestine U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 39
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00