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Lebanon U23 vs Syria U23

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Osman H.
42' Event
Rihanieh M.
49' Event
Kass Kawo O.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Lebanon U23 and Syria U23 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Syria U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lebanon U23
20%
Draws
40%
Syria U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Syria U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Lebanon U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Syria U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon U23 Syria U23
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Syria U23
2:1
Aug 13, 2025 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Syria U23
0:4
Mar 19, 2025 WAFF Championship U23
Syria U23 vs Lebanon U23
3:2
Jun 6, 2023 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Syria U23
1:3
Jun 3, 2023 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Syria U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadek M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Syria U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Osman H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rihanieh M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U23 75 / 100
Syria U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon U23 Syria U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Lebanon U23 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Syria U23 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Lebanon U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon U23 VS Syria U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon U23

(Home)
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Lebanon U23
2 : 4
South Korea U23
07 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 2
Lebanon U23
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Lebanon U23
2 : 2
Thailand U23
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Syria U23

(Away)
13 Jan
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 1
Syria U23
10 Jan
Syria U23
1 : 0
Qatar U23
07 Jan
Japan U23
5 : 0
Syria U23
30 Dec
Syria U23
2 : 1
Vietnam U23
26 Dec
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Syria U23
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