Sport Picks

Lebanon U23 vs Thailand U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23

Lebanon U23

2 - 2

Thailand U23

Our Tip

Match Events

47'

Farhat H.

72'

Ratree S.

85'

Farhat H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Lebanon U23

15%

Draws

39%

Thailand U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Lebanon U23 haven't matched Thailand U23's recent run of results.
Lebanon U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Thailand U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lebanon U23	Thailand U23
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	7	11
Draws	5	9
Losses	18	15
Goals Scored	1.2	1.54
Goals Conceded	1.87	1.54
Expected Goals (xG)	1.40	1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23

Lebanon U23 vs Thailand U23

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Farhat H.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.7

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ratree S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Buaphan C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.68

Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U23 83 / 100

Thailand U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lebanon U23 Thailand U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lebanon U23 scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Thailand U23 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Recent resilience: Lebanon U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon U23 VS Thailand U23

1.67 Goals Scored 1.38

2.33 Goals Conceded 1.13

67% Over 1.5 75%

67% Over 2.5 63%

67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon U23

(Home)

13 Jan

Iran U23

0 : 1

Lebanon U23

10 Jan

Lebanon U23

2 : 4

South Korea U23

07 Jan

Uzbekistan U23

3 : 2

Lebanon U23

09 Sept

Lebanon U23

3 : 0

Mongolia U23

06 Sept

Lebanon U23

2 : 2

Thailand U23

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Thailand U23

(Away)

26 Sept

China U23

3 : 0

Thailand U23

23 Sept

Japan U23

3 : 0

Thailand U23

20 Sept

Hong Kong U23

1 : 5

Thailand U23

16 Sept

Thailand U23

3 : 2

Kyrgyzstan U23

09 Jun

Thailand U23

2 : 5

United Arab Emirates U23

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