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Lebanon vs Jordan

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Al Dardour H.
23' Event
Haidar M.
90' Event
Mansour N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Lebanon and Jordan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lebanon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lebanon
15%
Draws
0%
Jordan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lebanon come out ahead of Jordan on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Lebanon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 68%
Jordan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon Jordan
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 28, 2023 Friendly International
Lebanon vs Jordan
2:1
Mar 24, 2021 Friendly International
Jordan vs Lebanon
1:0
Sep 6, 2018 Friendly International
Jordan vs Lebanon
0:1
Nov 15, 2016 Friendly International
Jordan vs Lebanon
0:0
Aug 31, 2016 Friendly International
Lebanon vs Jordan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon Compare

Top Goalscorer Haidar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jordan Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Dardour H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon 95 / 100
Jordan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon Jordan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jordan's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Jordan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Lebanon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lebanon found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Lebanon VS Jordan
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon

(Home)
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Bhutan
0 : 4
Lebanon
09 Oct
Lebanon
2 : 0
Bhutan
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Jordan

(Away)
28 Jun
Jordan
1 : 3
Argentina
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
07 Jun
Colombia
2 : 0
Jordan
31 May
Switzerland
4 : 1
Jordan
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