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Lebanon W vs Latvia W

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Friendly International Women 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lebanon W play Latvia W in the Friendly International Women 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lebanon W averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Latvia W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Lebanon W won 0, Latvia W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 13, 2015 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Lebanon W and 1.75 for Latvia W. This points to a Lebanon W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lebanon W
15%
Draws
37%
Latvia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Lebanon W picked up more points recently compared to Latvia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Lebanon W Clean Sheet 12%
Latvia W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon W Latvia W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.85 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2015 Friendly International Women
Lebanon W vs Latvia W
0:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon W 46 / 100
Latvia W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon W Latvia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lebanon W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lebanon W attacking → ← attacking Latvia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon W scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Latvia W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Lebanon W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Latvia W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 37
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63