Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Lebrijana in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lebrijana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to CD Alcala lately — more wins on the board than Lebrijana.
- 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Lebrijana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Lebrijana Clean Sheet 19%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lebrijana | CD Alcala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Lebrijana
0:1
Oct 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs CD Alcala
3:0
Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs CD Alcala
1:0
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Lebrijana
3:0
May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Lebrijana
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lebrijana 31 / 100
CD Alcala 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lebrijana CD Alcala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lebrijana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Alcala has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
CD Alcala lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Lebrijana's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Lebrijana VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lebrijana
(Home) 26 Sept
Lebrijana
5 : 0 Ceuta 6 de Junio
02 Sept
Cabecense
3 : 0 Lebrijana
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2 Arcos CF
06 Jun
Castilleja CF
1 : 0 Lebrijana
29 May
Lebrijana
1 : 4 Coria C.F.
Page 1 of 8
26 Sept
Lebrijana
5 : 0 Ceuta 6 de Junio
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2 Arcos CF
29 May
Lebrijana
1 : 4 Coria C.F.
16 May
Lebrijana
1 : 2 Sevilla C
02 May
Lebrijana
0 : 0 Castilleja CF
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CD Alcala
(Away) 13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2 Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0 CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0 CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0 Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2 CD Alcala
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06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0 CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0 CD Alcala
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2 CD Alcala
25 Mar
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 1 CD Alcala
11 Mar
Cadiz B
0 : 0 CD Alcala
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betis B | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 81:35 | 75 |
| 2 | Arcos CF | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 76:39 | 74 |
| 3 | Ecija | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 69:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Algeciras | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:34 | 68 |
| 5 | San Roque de Lepe | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 68:52 | 66 |
| 6 | Atletico Espeleno | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:56 | 60 |
| 7 | Sevilla C | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 55:39 | 58 |
| 8 | AD Ceuta | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 45:39 | 56 |
| 9 | Lebrijana | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 45:48 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Utrera | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 49:50 | 51 |
| 11 | CD Gerena | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:53 | 49 |
| 12 | Los Barrios | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 31:44 | 47 |
| 13 | CD Guadalcacin | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 42:57 | 46 |
| 14 | Cabecense | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 47:64 | 43 |
| 15 | Castilleja CF | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 44:55 | 43 |
| 16 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 45:66 | 43 |
| 17 | CD Alcala | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 37:65 | 43 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:59 | 40 |
| 19 | Coria C.F. | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 48:66 | 36 |
| 20 | San Roque de Cadiz | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 37:79 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
