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Leca vs AD Fafe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube, Leca da Palmeira
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Veiga T.
Assist: Correia M.
40'
Asamoah K.
52'
Teixeira L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Leca and AD Fafe finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Fafe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Leca
20%
Draws
32%
AD Fafe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leca come out ahead of AD Fafe on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Leca Clean Sheet 68%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leca AD Fafe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.43
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga 3
Leca vs AD Fafe
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AD Fafe Compare

Top Goalscorer Veiga T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Correia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leca 41 / 100
AD Fafe 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leca AD Fafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leca scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

AD Fafe let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Leca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leca VS AD Fafe
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leca

(Home)
31 Oct
Leca
2 : 0
Varzim
23 Oct
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 0
Leca
17 Oct
Penafiel
0 : 1
Leca
10 Oct
Leca
2 : 0
AD Marco 09
20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Leca
Page 1 of 6

AD Fafe

(Away)
30 Oct
AD Fafe
3 : 1
Pacos Ferreira
25 Oct
AD Marco 09
0 : 0
AD Fafe
18 Oct
FC Felgueiras
1 : 0
AD Fafe
11 Oct
AD Fafe
2 : 2
Trofense
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
2 AD Marco 09 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
3 AD Fafe 8 3 4 1 13:7 13
4 Leca 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
5 SC Vianense 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
6 Vitoria Guimaraes B 8 2 3 3 10:10 9
7 Sao Joao de Ver 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
8 Varzim 8 3 0 5 11:13 9
9 Pacos Ferreira 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
10 Trofense 8 1 2 5 4:15 5
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
2 Atletico CP 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Santarem 9 4 1 4 11:15 13
4 Mafra 9 3 3 3 17:13 12
5 Caldas SC 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
6 Oliveirense 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
7 Louletano 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
8 Vitoria Sernache 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
9 Covilha 8 1 4 3 5:8 7
10 Lusitano GC 9 1 4 4 6:11 7
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)