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Leca vs AD Fafe

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube, Leca da Palmeira
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Veiga T.
Assist: Correia M.
40'
Asamoah K.
52'
Teixeira L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Leca and AD Fafe finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Fafe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Leca
35%
Draws
45%
AD Fafe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leca come out ahead of AD Fafe on wins alone.
  • Model gives AD Fafe a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Leca Clean Sheet 15%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leca AD Fafe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga 3
Leca vs AD Fafe
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AD Fafe Compare

Top Goalscorer Veiga T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Correia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leca 10 / 100
AD Fafe 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leca AD Fafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leca scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Leca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

AD Fafe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leca VS AD Fafe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leca

(Home)
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
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AD Fafe

(Away)
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
16 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
1 : 3
AD Fafe
09 Aug
AD Fafe
0 : 0
SC Vianense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Varzim 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 AD Fafe 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
4 AD Marco 09 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 SC Vianense 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
6 Vitoria Guimaraes B 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
7 Trofense 4 1 1 2 1:3 4
8 Leca 4 1 1 2 3:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
10 Pacos Ferreira 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Atletico CP 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
3 Mafra 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
4 Louletano 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
5 Oliveirense 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
6 Lusitano GC 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
7 Caldas SC 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
8 Covilha 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
9 Vitoria Sernache 4 0 1 3 3:11 1
10 Santarem 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)