Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Leca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Leca come out ahead of Esmoriz on wins alone.
- Model gives Leca a 36% chance of winning this.
- Leca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Leca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Leca Clean Sheet 20%
Esmoriz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leca | Esmoriz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2004 Taça de Portugal
Leca vs Esmoriz
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leca 36 / 100
Esmoriz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leca Esmoriz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leca found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Esmoriz let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Leca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Leca VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Leca
(Home) 12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4 Leca
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3 AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2 Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3 AD Fafe
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0 Lusitania FC
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1 Vitoria Sernache
31 May
Leca
1 : 0 GD Braganca
Page 1 of 4
Esmoriz
(Away) 24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1 Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2 Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0 Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1 Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1 Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2 Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0 Esmoriz
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1 Esmoriz
03 Apr
Tondela
3 : 0 Esmoriz
20 Mar
SC Espinho
2 : 0 Esmoriz
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Benfica -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras 1
Oriental 2
Anadia 3
FC Lixa 1
CD Torres Novas 1
AD Oliveirense 4
FC Pampilhosa 3
Penalva do Castelo 1
SB Castelo Branco 1
Fatima 2
Naval 3
Cerveira 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
SC Espinho -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Almada -
Malveira -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Angrense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beira Mar -
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Imortal 1
Casa Pia 0
Famalicao 1
SC Pombal 2
Leca 3
Esmoriz 1
Aljustrelense 1
FC Canedo 3
Estrela Calheta 2
Infesta 0
Varzim 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Penafiel -
TBD -
SC Salgueiros 0
GD Os Nazarenos 1
UD Rio Maior 4
UC Idanhense 3
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Futebol Clube da Maia 1
Louletano 4
Lusitano VRSA 2
Feirense 2
Leixoes 4
Estoril -
TBD -
UD Ovarense 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista -
TBD -
Abrantes 0
Alverca 1
Oliveirense 4
Santana 2
FC Vialonga 1
SC Vianense 3
Leiria -
TBD -
Olivais e Moscavide 2
FC Madalena 5
Aves 4
Portimonense 1
TBD -
Nacional -
Academica -
TBD -
FC Souropires 1
Almancilense 3
Chaves 4
Amora 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Fiaes 2
Camacha 1
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
Real SC 4
Torreense 3
TBD -
Maritimo -
Braga -
TBD -
Olhanense 1
AD Lousada 2
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
Trofense 0
Odivelas FC 1
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Marco -
Sanjoanense 3
Dragoes Sandinenses 1
Juv. Evora 2
Oliveira Hospital 4
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Valdevez -
TBD -
Gondomar 1
Aliados Lordelo 2
Academico Viseu 2
Covilha 1
TBD -
Merelinense -
Pedras Rubras 2
U. Madeira 1
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
1/32-finals
Benfica 3
Oriental 1
Anadia 0
AD Oliveirense 1
FC Pampilhosa 2
Fatima 1
Naval 1
Sporting CP 3
SC Espinho 3
AC Almada 1
Malveira 1
Santa Clara 2
Pacos Ferreira 2
SC Angrense 1
TBD -
Beira Mar -
BSAD -
TBD -
Imortal 1
SC Pombal 2
Leca 1
FC Canedo 0
Estrela Calheta 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Penafiel 9
GD Os Nazarenos 0
UD Rio Maior 1
Futebol Clube da Maia 3
Louletano 2
Leixoes 1
Estoril 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 1
Alverca 0
Oliveirense 2
SC Vianense 4
Leiria 4
FC Madalena 3
Aves 1
Nacional 2
Academica 3
Almancilense 0
Chaves 0
Rio Ave 2
Fiaes 3
Sintrense 1
Real SC 0
Maritimo 5
Braga 2
AD Lousada 0
Gil Vicente 1
Odivelas FC 2
Moreirense 4
FC Marco 1
Sanjoanense 1
Oliveira Hospital 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
FC Porto 1
Valdevez 0
Aliados Lordelo 1
Academico Viseu 4
Merelinense 0
Pedras Rubras 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
1/16-finals
Benfica 4
AD Oliveirense 1
FC Pampilhosa 1
Sporting CP 4
SC Espinho 1
Santa Clara 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Beira Mar 2
BSAD 3
SC Pombal 0
Leca 0
Pinhalnovense 3
Penafiel 3
Futebol Clube da Maia 2
Louletano 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 3
SC Vianense 1
Leiria 1
Nacional 2
Academica 2
Rio Ave 0
Fiaes 1
Maritimo 4
Braga 2
Odivelas FC 1
Moreirense 1
Oliveira Hospital 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Aliados Lordelo 0
Academico Viseu 1
Vitoria Setubal 3
1/8-finals
Benfica 4
Sporting CP 3
SC Espinho 5
Beira Mar 6
BSAD 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Penafiel 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 4
Nacional 3
Academica 1
Maritimo 2
Braga 1
Oliveira Hospital 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 3
Quarter-finals
Benfica 1
Beira Mar 0
BSAD 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 2
Maritimo 0
Braga 2
Vitoria Setubal 3
Semi-finals
Benfica 3
Estrela da Amadora 0
Boavista 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Final
Benfica 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
