Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leca vs Ferreira de Aves

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leca in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Leca
15%
Draws
45%
Ferreira de Aves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferreira de Aves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leca lately — more wins on the board than Ferreira de Aves.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Leca Clean Sheet 68%
Ferreira de Aves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leca Ferreira de Aves
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.09 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Ferreira de Aves vs Leca
0:4
Nov 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Leca vs Ferreira de Aves
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leca 41 / 100
Ferreira de Aves 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leca Ferreira de Aves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leca scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Ferreira de Aves conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leca VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leca

(Home)
20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Leca
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
Page 1 of 7

Ferreira de Aves

(Away)
08 May
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Ferreira de Aves
01 May
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
Castro Daire
24 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
10 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
03 Apr
Castro Daire
3 : 0
Ferreira de Aves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 18 13 4 1 29:14 43
2 Leca 18 12 3 3 36:15 39
3 Gondomar 18 10 3 5 34:19 33
4 Castro Daire 18 9 5 4 25:15 32
5 SC Espinho 18 8 5 5 24:13 29
6 Santa Cruz Alvarenga 18 5 5 8 13:16 20
7 Valadares Gaia FC 18 5 5 8 22:20 20
8 Uniao de Coimbra 18 4 4 10 17:29 16
9 Ferreira de Aves 18 3 3 12 6:35 12
10 CD Gouveia 18 1 3 14 8:38 6
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)