Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leca vs GD Resende

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Marado P.
33' Event
Muale Nzanza D.
42' Event
Nuno Pereira
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Leca in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Leca
35%
Draws
40%
GD Resende
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GD Resende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leca lately — more wins on the board than GD Resende.
  • Win probability leans GD Resende's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Leca Clean Sheet 16%
GD Resende Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leca GD Resende
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.86 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs Leca
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs GD Resende
3:1
Jan 15, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs GD Resende
0:1
Sep 18, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs Leca
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Taça de Portugal
Leca vs GD Resende
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Muale Nzanza D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

GD Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Marado P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leca 28 / 100
GD Resende 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leca GD Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Resende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leca scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: GD Resende conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leca VS GD Resende
2.38 Goals Scored 1.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Leca

(Home)
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

GD Resende

(Away)
18 Apr
FC Alpendorada
3 : 4
GD Resende
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
22 Mar
GD Resende
1 : 1
Leca
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)