Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce U19 vs AC Milan U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

53'
Samek D.
59'
Sub
Camarda F. In: Sia D.
Out: Camarda F.
63'
Malaspina M.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2023/2024 game between Lecce U19 and AC Milan U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lecce U19
35%
Draws
20%
AC Milan U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lecce U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Milan U19 have managed 1.44 goals a game lately — Lecce U19 are scoring more at 1.47.
  • Win probability leans Lecce U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Lecce U19 Clean Sheet 17%
AC Milan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce U19 AC Milan U19
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2024 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs AC Milan U19
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Lecce U19
2:0
Apr 29, 2023 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Lecce U19
3:1
Nov 13, 2022 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs AC Milan U19
1:0
Mar 9, 2022 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Lecce U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Helm A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

AC Milan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeroli K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce U19 84 / 100
AC Milan U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce U19 AC Milan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lecce U19 scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

AC Milan U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Lecce U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lecce U19 VS AC Milan U19
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce U19

(Home)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AS Roma U19
06 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AC Milan U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
22 Apr
Lecce U19
3 : 0
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 7

AC Milan U19

(Away)
11 Dec
AC Milan U19
1 : 3
Crvena zvezda U19
26 Nov
Slovan Bratislava U19
2 : 3
AC Milan U19
05 Nov
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
AC Milan U19
22 Oct
AC Milan U19
1 : 1
Club Brugge U19
01 Oct
Leverkusen U19
3 : 1
AC Milan U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)