Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce U19 vs AS Roma U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Minerva F.
31'
Vetkal M.
42'
Burnete R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lecce U19
35%
Draws
28%
AS Roma U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lecce U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • AS Roma U19 have won more games recently than Lecce U19.
  • Model gives Lecce U19 a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lecce U19 Clean Sheet 14%
AS Roma U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce U19 AS Roma U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs AS Roma U19
1:1
Jan 6, 2024 Primavera 1
AS Roma U19 vs Lecce U19
2:1
Aug 22, 2023 Supercoppa Primavera
Lecce U19 vs AS Roma U19
0:1
Apr 15, 2023 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs AS Roma U19
5:0
Jan 10, 2023 Coppa Italia Primavera
AS Roma U19 vs Lecce U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Winkelmann T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AS Roma U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Alessio F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce U19 75 / 100
AS Roma U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce U19 AS Roma U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lecce U19 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Lecce U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: AS Roma U19 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lecce U19 VS AS Roma U19
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce U19

(Home)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AS Roma U19
06 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AC Milan U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
22 Apr
Lecce U19
3 : 0
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma U19

(Away)
27 Jul
Sorrento
1 : 0
AS Roma U19
31 May
Sassuolo U19
3 : 0
AS Roma U19
28 May
AS Roma U19
3 : 2
Lazio U19
18 May
AS Roma U19
4 : 1
Bologna U19
12 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AS Roma U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)