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Lecce U19 vs Sampdoria U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Mon, Apr 22, 2024
3 - 0
09:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Daka D.
35'
Sub
Pozzato S. In: Leonardi S.
Out: Pozzato S.
54'
Daka D.

AI Match Summary

Lecce U19 host Sampdoria U19 in the Primavera 1 2023/2024. This one's hard to separate. Sampdoria U19 have shipped 1.81 goals a game lately, while Lecce U19 have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Lecce U19 slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2024, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.49, favoring Sampdoria U19. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lecce U19
35%
Draws
36%
Sampdoria U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sampdoria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sampdoria U19 have won more games recently than Lecce U19.
  • Win probability leans Lecce U19's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Lecce U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Sampdoria U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce U19 Sampdoria U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.5 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2024 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Sampdoria U19
3:0
Sep 23, 2023 Primavera 1
Sampdoria U19 vs Lecce U19
2:2
Feb 19, 2023 Primavera 1
Sampdoria U19 vs Lecce U19
1:2
Sep 1, 2022 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Sampdoria U19
0:0
Apr 30, 2022 Primavera 1
Sampdoria U19 vs Lecce U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Daka D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sampdoria U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce U19 41 / 100
Sampdoria U19 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce U19 Sampdoria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lecce U19 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Sampdoria U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Lecce U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sampdoria U19
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce U19

(Home)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AS Roma U19
06 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AC Milan U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
22 Apr
Lecce U19
3 : 0
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 6

Sampdoria U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Modena U19
4 : 4
Sampdoria U19
12 Sept
Sampdoria U19
3 : 1
Entella U19
05 Sept
Mantova U19
0 : 0
Sampdoria U19
09 May
Lecco U19
1 : 3
Sampdoria U19
02 May
Sampdoria U19
4 : 1
Pro Vercelli U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)