Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce vs Cremonese

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Pierotti S.
Assist: Gallo A.
38' Event
Stulic N.
(Penalty)
44'
Bianchetti M.

AI Match Summary

Lecce in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lecce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Lecce
22%
Draws
18%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lecce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lecce lately — more wins on the board than Cremonese.
  • Model gives Lecce a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Lecce Clean Sheet 68%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce Cremonese
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Serie A
Lecce vs Cremonese
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie A
Cremonese vs Lecce
2:0
Feb 4, 2023 Serie A
Cremonese vs Lecce
0:2
Oct 2, 2022 Serie A
Lecce vs Cremonese
1:1
Jan 23, 2022 Serie B
Lecce vs Cremonese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierotti S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonazzoli F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce 68 / 100
Cremonese 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cremonese conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Lecce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lecce found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Lecce VS Cremonese
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce

(Home)
29 Jul
Lecce
5 : 2
Bistrica
25 Jul
Lecce
2 : 2
Istra 1961
22 Jul
Lecce
0 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
19 Jul
Haladas
0 : 1
Lecce
24 May
Lecce
1 : 0
Genoa
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Cremonese

(Away)
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0
Lumezzane
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
24 May
Cremonese
1 : 4
Como
17 May
Udinese
0 : 1
Cremonese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)