Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce vs Monza

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Coulibaly L.
Assist: Ilic I.
10' Event
Oliveira T.
Assist: Ilic I.
20' Event
Mangas R.
Assist: Birindelli S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Lecce and Monza finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lecce
15%
Draws
46%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Monza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lecce's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lecce Clean Sheet 10%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce Monza
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie A
Lecce vs Monza
3:2
Feb 16, 2025 Serie A
Monza vs Lecce
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie A
Lecce vs Monza
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Serie A
Lecce vs Monza
1:1
Sep 17, 2023 Serie A
Monza vs Lecce
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulibaly L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mangas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeballos E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce 40 / 100
Monza 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lecce scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Lecce went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lecce VS Monza
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce

(Home)
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
23 Aug
Venezia
0 : 2
Lecce
Page 1 of 6

Monza

(Away)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Torino
0 : 1
Monza
29 Aug
Monza
2 : 3
Udinese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)