Sport Picks
Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco 
Match Events
81'
81'
Sinn L.
81'
81'
Sinn L.
1'
1'
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Desenzano Calvina carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lecco a 40% chance of winning this.
- Desenzano Calvina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Desenzano Calvina, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lecco Clean Sheet 68%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 23%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lecco | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 0.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco
1:3
Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lecco 50 / 100
Desenzano Calvina 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lecco Desenzano Calvina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lecco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Lecco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Lecco's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Desenzano Calvina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Lecco VS Desenzano Calvina
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lecco
(Home) 17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0 Lecco
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0 Lecco
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0 Arzignano
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0 Arzignano
16 Aug
Lecco
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
08 Aug
Lecco
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
05 Aug
Lecco
0 : 3 Inter U23
Page 1 of 4
Desenzano Calvina
(Away) 17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
31 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Trento
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
23 Aug
Pro Vercelli
1 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
16 Aug
Lecco
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
