Sport Picks
Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco 
Match Events
81'
81'
Sinn L.
81'
81'
Sinn L.
1'
1'
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lecco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Desenzano Calvina carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lecco a 42% chance of winning this.
- Desenzano Calvina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Desenzano Calvina, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Lecco Clean Sheet 68%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lecco | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco
1:3
Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lecco 95 / 100
Desenzano Calvina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lecco Desenzano Calvina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lecco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Lecco remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Lecco's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Desenzano Calvina's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Lecco VS Desenzano Calvina
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lecco
(Home) 01 Nov
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 4 Lecco
25 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
16 Oct
Pro Vercelli
0 : 5 Lecco
11 Oct
Lecco
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
11 Oct
Lecco
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 3
Desenzano Calvina
(Away) 02 Nov
Novara
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
28 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
25 Oct
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 2 Giana Erminio
18 Oct
Alcione Milano
4 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
10 Oct
Desenzano Calvina
2 : 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Novara
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
28 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
18 Oct
Alcione Milano
4 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso 2
Latina 0
Spezia 2
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Bari 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Sorrento 0
Altamura 1
Gubbio 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Carpi 4
Ravenna 3
Union Brescia 1
Cittadella 2
Quarter-finals
Campobasso -
Spezia -
Potenza -
A.C. Savoia -
Altamura -
Desenzano Calvina -
Carpi -
Cittadella -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
