Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Lecco in this Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lecco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lecco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lecco lately — more wins on the board than Montichiari.
- Win probability leans Lecco's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lecco Clean Sheet 20%
Montichiari Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lecco | Montichiari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 1 |
| Draws | 10 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 27 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 18, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Montichiari vs Lecco
1:3
Sep 28, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Lecco vs Montichiari
3:2
Mar 7, 2012 Lega Pro C2/A
Montichiari vs Lecco
2:1
Oct 26, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A
Lecco vs Montichiari
1:2
Feb 6, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A
Montichiari vs Lecco
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lecco 85 / 100
Montichiari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lecco Montichiari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lecco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montichiari has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Lecco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Montichiari registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lecco VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lecco
(Home) 26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0 Lecco
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0 Lecco
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20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0 Arzignano
16 Aug
Lecco
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
08 Aug
Lecco
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
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Montichiari
(Away) 10 May
Montichiari
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
03 May
MapelloBonate
4 : 1 Montichiari
26 Apr
Montichiari
0 : 1 Ciserano
19 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Montichiari
12 Apr
Montichiari
1 : 2 Villafranca
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03 May
MapelloBonate
4 : 1 Montichiari
19 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Montichiari
02 Apr
Olginatese
4 : 0 Montichiari
25 Mar
Pro Sesto
4 : 0 Montichiari
15 Mar
Seregno Calcio
6 : 2 Montichiari
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Castiglione | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 74 |
| 2 | Lecco | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:42 | 66 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:37 | 65 |
| 4 | Ciserano | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 53:39 | 60 |
| 5 | Virtus Verona | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:34 | 59 |
| 6 | Pergolettese | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 46:44 | 55 |
| 7 | Olginatese | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 44:34 | 54 |
| 8 | Ponte San Pietro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50:42 | 52 |
| 9 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 37:40 | 51 |
| 10 | Sondrio | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | Aurora Seriate | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 12 | Inveruno | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47:48 | 49 |
| 13 | Villafranca | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 44:49 | 47 |
| 14 | MapelloBonate | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 36:48 | 47 |
| 15 | Pro Sesto | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 37:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 34:40 | 37 |
| 18 | Castellana | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 36:61 | 30 |
| 19 | Montichiari | 36 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 26:97 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)
