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Lecco vs Pergolettese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
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AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Lecco and Pergolettese finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lecco
30%
Draws
29%
Pergolettese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lecco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Lecco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Lecco Clean Sheet 68%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecco Pergolettese
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.09 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pergolettese
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Lecco
3:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pergolettese
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Lecco
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pergolettese
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecco 41 / 100
Pergolettese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecco Pergolettese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pergolettese has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Lecco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lecco scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lecco VS Pergolettese
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecco

(Home)
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0
Lecco
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0
Lecco
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0
Arzignano
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Pergolettese

(Away)
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Pergolettese
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1
Union Brescia
22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0
Pergolettese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 5 5 0 0 9:2 15
2 Ospitaletto 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
3 Union Brescia 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Alcione Milano 5 2 3 0 9:6 9
5 Trento 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
6 Dolomiti Bellunesi 5 2 3 0 4:2 9
7 AlbinoLeffe 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
8 Treviso 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Arzignano 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Lecco 5 2 1 2 4:3 7
11 Carpi 5 1 2 2 8:10 5
12 Juventus U23 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Pro Vercelli 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
14 Novara 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Lumezzane 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
16 Desenzano Calvina 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
17 Pergolettese 5 1 2 2 1:3 5
18 Folgore Caratese 5 0 2 3 5:8 2
19 Renate 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
20 Giana Erminio 5 0 1 4 4:8 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)