Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecco vs Triestina

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Sipos L.
(Penalty)
46'
Tanco G. J.
53'
Sub
Faggioli A. In: Gunduz T.
Out: Faggioli A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Lecco and Triestina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lecco
33%
Draws
27%
Triestina
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lecco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lecco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lecco a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lecco Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecco Triestina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Triestina
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Lecco
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Lecco
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Triestina
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Triestina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecco 50 / 100
Triestina 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecco Triestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triestina has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Lecco stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Lecco scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lecco VS Triestina
1.63 Goals Scored 1.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecco

(Home)
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1
Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Lecco
06 May
Lecco
2 : 1
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

Triestina

(Away)
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0
Giana Erminio
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1
Triestina
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)