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Lech Poznan II vs Blekitni Stargard

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Amica Wronki Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Zaborski K.
82' Event
Delikat K.

AI Match Summary

Lech Poznan II host Blekitni Stargard in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Blekitni Stargard have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Lech Poznan II have conceded 2 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor Blekitni Stargard slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.81) point toward Blekitni Stargard. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lech Poznan II
6%
Draws
90%
Blekitni Stargard
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lech Poznan II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Blekitni Stargard.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Blekitni Stargard.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 11%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan II Blekitni Stargard
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Blekitni Stargard
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Lech Poznan II
3:3
May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Blekitni Stargard
2:4
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Lech Poznan II
2:1
Apr 25, 2021 Division 2
Lech Poznan II vs Blekitni Stargard
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Delikat K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaborski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan II 10 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan II Blekitni Stargard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan II scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Blekitni Stargard let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Lech Poznan II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Blekitni Stargard lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan II VS Blekitni Stargard
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415