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Lech Poznan II vs Grom Nowy Staw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki
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Match Events

14' Event
Kowalski P.
27' Event
Stankiewicz I.
54' Event
Jankowski I.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Lech Poznan II and Grom Nowy Staw finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grom Nowy Staw.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lech Poznan II
20%
Draws
34%
Grom Nowy Staw
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lech Poznan II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lech Poznan II come out ahead of Grom Nowy Staw on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan II Grom Nowy Staw
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.84 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Grom Nowy Staw
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kowalski P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stankiewicz I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Grom Nowy Staw Compare

Top Goalscorer Jankowski I.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan II 29 / 100
Grom Nowy Staw 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan II Grom Nowy Staw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lech Poznan II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lech Poznan II scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Grom Nowy Staw's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lech Poznan II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan II VS Grom Nowy Staw
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan II

(Home)
10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4
Lech Poznan II
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 7

Grom Nowy Staw

(Away)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)