Sport Picks
Lech Poznan II vs Notec Czarnkow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki 
Match Events
13'
13'
Szymczak W.
77'
77'
Cegielka M.
81'
81'
Ratajczak J.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Lech Poznan II and Notec Czarnkow finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech Poznan II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lech Poznan II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Notec Czarnkow come out ahead of Lech Poznan II on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 14%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lech Poznan II | Notec Czarnkow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Notec Czarnkow
2:1
Apr 15, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Lech Poznan II
2:1
Sep 17, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Notec Czarnkow
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Notec Czarnkow
2:2
Sep 18, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Lech Poznan II
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lech Poznan II Compare
Top Goalscorer Szymczak W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cegielka M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Notec Czarnkow Compare
Top Goalscorer Ratajczak J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lech Poznan II 31 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lech Poznan II Notec Czarnkow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lech Poznan II's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Notec Czarnkow let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Lech Poznan II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lech Poznan II VS Notec Czarnkow
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lech Poznan II
(Home) 10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4 Lech Poznan II
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4 Grom Nowy Staw
19 Aug
Lech Poznan II
1 : 0 Lipno Steszew
08 Aug
Lech Poznan II
1 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
18 Jul
Lech Poznan II
3 : 0 Zaglebie II
Page 1 of 3
Notec Czarnkow
(Away) 10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0 Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0 Notec Czarnkow
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
28 Aug
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
19 Aug
KKS Kalisz
0 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
