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Lech Poznan II vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lech Poznan II host Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in the III Liga - Group II. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Lech Poznan II have averaged 1.9 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's 2.12 scored and 1.39 conceded. Head-to-head, Lech Poznan II have won 2 to Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.00 - 2.38) back Polonia Sroda Wielkopol to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lech Poznan II
35%
Draws
38%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Polonia Sroda Wielkopol lately — more wins on the board than Lech Poznan II.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan II Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.9 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lech Poznan II
1:4
May 2, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1
Oct 4, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lech Poznan II
1:3
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lech Poznan II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan II 30 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan II Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan II found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Lech Poznan II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan II VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1.88 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan II

(Home)
10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4
Lech Poznan II
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Grom Nowy Staw
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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Away)
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)