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Lech Poznan II vs Swinoujscie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki
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Match Events

22' Event
Cegielka M.
32' Event
Jakobczyk K.
33' Event
Bakhno S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Lech Poznan II and Swinoujscie finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech Poznan II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Lech Poznan II
15%
Draws
12%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lech Poznan II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Lech Poznan II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Lech Poznan II taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lech Poznan II have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 20%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan II Swinoujscie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.33 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Swinoujscie
8:1
Apr 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Swinoujscie
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Lech Poznan II
1:2
May 25, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Swinoujscie
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Lech Poznan II
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakobczyk K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dziuba M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowak O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan II 85 / 100
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan II Swinoujscie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lech Poznan II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan II scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Swinoujscie let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Lech Poznan II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan II VS Swinoujscie
2.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan II

(Home)
04 Nov
Kluczevia Stargard
4 : 3
Lech Poznan II
31 Oct
Lech Poznan II
8 : 1
Swinoujscie
24 Oct
Luzino
2 : 4
Lech Poznan II
18 Oct
Lech Poznan II
2 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
14 Oct
Lech Poznan II
1 : 4
Wda Swiecie
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Swinoujscie

(Away)
31 Oct
Lech Poznan II
8 : 1
Swinoujscie
24 Oct
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 2
Swinoujscie
18 Oct
Wda Swiecie
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Kluczevia Stargard 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
3 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
4 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
5 Lech Poznan II 15 7 3 5 39:31 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)