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Stadium Background

Lech Poznan U19 vs Nantes U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Fortun T.
15'
Gomes M.
16'
Mafoumbi M'Badinga E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lech Poznan U19
20%
Draws
38%
Nantes U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lech Poznan U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Lech Poznan U19 have won more games recently than Nantes U19.
  • Model gives Lech Poznan U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Lech Poznan U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lech Poznan U19 Clean Sheet 15%
Nantes U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan U19 Nantes U19
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Nantes U19 vs Lech Poznan U19
1:0
Oct 4, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Lech Poznan U19 vs Nantes U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Paclawski N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nantes U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan U19 41 / 100
Nantes U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan U19 Nantes U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan U19 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Nantes U19 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 16 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Lech Poznan U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan U19 VS Nantes U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan U19

(Home)
31 May
Gornik Zabrze U19
4 : 2
Lech Poznan U19
23 May
Lech Poznan U19
3 : 0
Lechia Gdansk U19
17 May
Zaglebie U19
1 : 2
Lech Poznan U19
09 May
Lech Poznan U19
0 : 1
R. Rzeszow U19
30 Apr
Escola Warszawa U19
1 : 3
Lech Poznan U19
Page 1 of 7

Nantes U19

(Away)
10 Dec
Nantes U19
2 : 3
Maccabi Haifa U19
26 Nov
Maccabi Haifa U19
1 : 0
Nantes U19
05 Nov
Sabah Baku U19
1 : 2
Nantes U19
22 Oct
Nantes U19
5 : 0
Sabah Baku U19
19 Apr
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
1 : 0
Nantes U19
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rukh Lviv U194
FK Sarajevo U192
Famalicao U192
Midtjylland U193
Lech Poznan U191
Nantes U192
Malmo FF U193
HJK U195
Molde U195
Hamilton U194
AZ Alkmaar U1914
Klaipedos FM U190
Sparta Prague U191
Maccabi Haifa U191
Pafos U190
Zilina U196
Gent U190
Basel U193
Din. Zagreb U195
Basaksehir U192
Gabala U192
Puskas Akademia U191
Olympiacos Piraeus U196
Lecce U192
Maribor U191
Mainz U193
Din. Minsk U192
Ludogorets U191
Turan U190
Sheriff Tiraspol U196
Univ. Craiova U190
Partizan U195
Final
Rukh Lviv U191
Midtjylland U194
Nantes U192
HJK U191
Molde U193
AZ Alkmaar U196
Sparta Prague U196
Zilina U197
Basel U192
Din. Zagreb U190
Gabala U190
Olympiacos Piraeus U197
Mainz U193
Din. Minsk U192
Sheriff Tiraspol U194
Partizan U195