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Lech Poznan U19 vs Polonia W. U19

Poland Poland

Central Youth League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lech Poznan U19 play Polonia W. U19 in the Central Youth League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lech Poznan U19 averaged 2.47 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Polonia W. U19 averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Lech Poznan U19 won 3, Polonia W. U19 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Lech Poznan U19 and 2.00 for Polonia W. U19. This points to a Lech Poznan U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lech Poznan U19
26%
Draws
32%
Polonia W. U19
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Lech Poznan U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Lech Poznan U19 picked up more points recently compared to Polonia W. U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Lech Poznan U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia W. U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan U19 Polonia W. U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.47 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Central Youth League
Lech Poznan U19 vs Polonia W. U19
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 Central Youth League
Polonia W. U19 vs Lech Poznan U19
1:2
Mar 14, 2025 Central Youth League
Polonia W. U19 vs Lech Poznan U19
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Central Youth League
Lech Poznan U19 vs Polonia W. U19
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 Central Youth League
Lech Poznan U19 vs Polonia W. U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Owczarek I.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Polonia W. U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Priemko Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan U19 40 / 100
Polonia W. U19 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan U19 Polonia W. U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lech Poznan U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lech Poznan U19 attacking → ← attacking Polonia W. U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan U19 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Polonia W. U19 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Lech Poznan U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Polonia W. U19 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 48
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13