Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lech Poznan vs Ceramika Opoczno

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2002/2003
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceramika Opoczno in this Polish Cup 2002/2003 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lech Poznan
6%
Draws
4%
Ceramika Opoczno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lech Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lech Poznan lately — more wins on the board than Ceramika Opoczno.
  • Model gives Lech Poznan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Lech Poznan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceramika Opoczno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 10%
Ceramika Opoczno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan Ceramika Opoczno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.75 3
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2002 Polish Cup
Lech Poznan vs Ceramika Opoczno
1:2
Nov 23, 2001 Division 1
Lech Poznan vs Ceramika Opoczno
2:0
Aug 4, 2001 Division 1
Ceramika Opoczno vs Lech Poznan
1:1
Jun 1, 2001 Division 1
Ceramika Opoczno vs Lech Poznan
2:0
Nov 3, 2000 Division 1
Lech Poznan vs Ceramika Opoczno
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan 83 / 100
Ceramika Opoczno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan Ceramika Opoczno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ceramika Opoczno conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Lech Poznan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan VS Ceramika Opoczno
1.75 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan

(Home)
21 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 4
Lech Poznan
16 Jul
Lech Poznan
3 : 1
Gornik Zabrze
11 Jul
Lech Poznan
4 : 0
Bohemians 1905
04 Jul
Lech Poznan
3 : 1
Podbrezova
23 May
Lech Poznan
2 : 2
Wisla Plock
Page 1 of 6

Ceramika Opoczno

(Away)
15 Jul
Bron Radom
2 : 3
Ceramika Opoczno
03 Feb
Ceramika Opoczno
0 : 4
Korona Kielce II
18 Jan
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
3 : 1
Ceramika Opoczno
05 Jun
Ceramika Opoczno
1 : 1
Jagiellonia
01 Jun
Arka Gdynia
2 : 2
Ceramika Opoczno
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Wisla3
Szczakowianka Jaworzno1
Polkowice0
Groclin1
Lech Poznan2
Ruch Chorzow0
Olimpia Elblag0
Ceramika Opoczno6
Polar Wroclaw-Zawidawie5
Unia Skierniewice3
GKS Belchatow2
Amica Wronki3
Zaglebie4
GKS Katowice1
Jagiellonia1
Widzew Lodz2
Radomsko2
Zielona Gora0
Okecie Warszawa0
Legia3
Hetman Zamosc2
Slask Wroclaw0
LKS Lodz1
Pogon Szczecin3
Odra Wodzislaw2
Alit Ozarow0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1
Stomil Olsztyn3
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski2
Polonia Warszawa1
Gornik Zabrze1
Wisla Plock3
1/8-finals
Wisla5
Groclin0
Lech Poznan1
Ceramika Opoczno2
Polar Wroclaw-Zawidawie1
Amica Wronki0
Zaglebie2
Widzew Lodz4
Radomsko1
Legia0
Hetman Zamosc1
Pogon Szczecin2
Odra Wodzislaw1
Stomil Olsztyn0
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski0
Wisla Plock1
Quarter-finals
Wisla7
Ceramika Opoczno2
Polar Wroclaw-Zawidawie3
Widzew Lodz7
Radomsko3
Pogon Szczecin2
Odra Wodzislaw1
Wisla Plock3
Semi-finals
Wisla3
Widzew Lodz2
Radomsko1
Wisla Plock2
Final
Wisla3
Wisla Plock1