Sport Picks

Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Stadion Poznan

Lech Poznan

1 - 3

Crvena zvezda

Our Tip

Match Events

Krunic R.

Assist: Ndiaye C.

19'

Jagiello F.

21'

Krunic R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Lech Poznan and Crvena zvezda finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crvena zvezda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Lech Poznan

Draws

Crvena zvezda

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lech Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Crvena zvezda carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Lech Poznan taking it.
European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 20%

Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lech Poznan	Crvena zvezda
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	18	19
Draws	4	4
Losses	6	4
Goals Scored	1.75	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Champions League

Crvena zvezda vs Lech Poznan

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Aug 6, 2025 Champions League

Lech Poznan vs Crvena zvezda

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Feb 15, 2010 Club Friendly

Lech Poznan vs Crvena zvezda

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishak M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Crvena zvezda Compare

Top Goalscorer Krunic R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Bruno Duarte

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan 85 / 100

Crvena zvezda 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lech Poznan Crvena zvezda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Lech Poznan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Crvena zvezda has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan VS Crvena zvezda

1.75 Goals Scored 1.5

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Ludogorets3

Din. Minsk2

Noah3

Buducnost2

TBD-

Ferencvaros-

TNS1

Shkendija Tetovo2

FCSB4

Inter Escaldes3

Shelbourne2

Linfield1

TBD-

Qarabag Agdam-

Lech Poznan-

TBD-

KF Egnatia1

Breidablik5

Vikingur2

Lincoln Red Imps4

TBD-

Crvena zvezda-

Zalgiris2

Hamrun3

TBD-

Dynamo Kyiv-

Pafos-

TBD-

Maccabi Tel Aviv-

Bodo/Glimt-

TBD-

Sturm Graz-

Celtic-

TBD-

KuPS1

Milsami0

O. Ljubljana1

Kairat Almaty3

Slovan Bratislava-

TBD-

Virtus1

Zrinjski4

Basel-

TBD-

Levadia0

RFS2

Iberia 19992

Malmo FF6

FC Copenhagen-

TBD-

Drita4

Differdange2

Feyenoord-

TBD-

Fenerbahce-

Nice-

TBD-

Benfica-

Rangers-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Plzen-

TBD-

Servette-

Brann-

TBD-

Salzburg-

TBD-

Club Brugge-

Quarter-finals

Rijeka1

Ludogorets3

Noah4

Ferencvaros6

Shkendija Tetovo3

FCSB1

Shelbourne0

Qarabag Agdam4

Lech Poznan8

Breidablik1

Lincoln Red Imps1

Crvena zvezda6

Hamrun0

Dynamo Kyiv6

Pafos2

Maccabi Tel Aviv1

Bodo/Glimt-

TBD-

Sturm Graz-

Celtic-

TBD-

KuPS2

Kairat Almaty3

Slovan Bratislava6

Zrinjski2

Basel-

TBD-

RFS1

Malmo FF5

FC Copenhagen3

Drita0

Feyenoord-

TBD-

Fenerbahce-

Nice-

TBD-

Benfica-

Rangers3

Panathinaikos1

Plzen3

Servette2

Brann2

Salzburg5

TBD-

Club Brugge-

Semi-finals

Ludogorets0

Ferencvaros3

Shkendija Tetovo1

Qarabag Agdam6

Lech Poznan2

Crvena zvezda4

Dynamo Kyiv0

Pafos3

Bodo/Glimt-

TBD-

Sturm Graz-

Celtic-

TBD-

Kairat Almaty2

Slovan Bratislava1

Basel-

TBD-

Malmo FF0

FC Copenhagen5

Feyenoord4

Fenerbahce6

Nice0

Benfica4

Rangers4

Plzen2

Salzburg2

Club Brugge4

Final

Ferencvaros4

Qarabag Agdam5

Crvena zvezda2

Pafos3

Bodo/Glimt6

Sturm Graz2

Celtic0

Kairat Almaty1

Basel1

FC Copenhagen3

Fenerbahce0

Benfica1

Rangers1

Club Brugge9