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Lech Poznan vs Rapid Vienna

Europe Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 Stadion Poznan
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lech Poznan play Rapid Vienna in the Conference League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lech Poznan averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Rapid Vienna averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Lech Poznan won 1, Rapid Vienna won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 2, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Lech Poznan and 0.88 for Rapid Vienna. This points to a Lech Poznan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lech Poznan
25%
Draws
27%
Rapid Vienna
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lech Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Lech Poznan picked up more points recently compared to Rapid Vienna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 25%
Rapid Vienna Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan Rapid Vienna
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2025 Conference League
Lech Poznan vs Rapid Vienna
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Palma L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ishak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Rapid Vienna Compare

Top Goalscorer Radulovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan 48 / 100
Rapid Vienna 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan Rapid Vienna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lech Poznan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lech Poznan attacking → ← attacking Rapid Vienna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Rapid Vienna let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lech Poznan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Rapid Vienna lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 38
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Strasbourg651011:516
2Rakow Czestochowa64209:214
3AEK641114:713
4Sparta Prague641110:313
5Rayo Vallecano641113:713
6Shakhtar641110:513
7Mainz64117:313
8AEK Larnaca63307:112
9Lausanne63216:311
10Crystal Palace631211:610
11Lech Poznan631212:810
12Samsunspor631210:610
13Celje63128:710
14AZ Alkmaar63127:710
15Fiorentina63038:59
16Rijeka62315:29
17Jagiellonia62315:49
18Omonia62225:48
19Noah62226:78
20Drita62224:88
21KuPS61416:57
22Shkendija Tetovo62134:57
23Zrinjski62138:107
24Sigma Olomouc62137:97
25Univ. Craiova62136:87
26Lincoln Red Imps62137:157
27Dynamo Kyiv62049:96
28Legia62048:86
29Slovan Bratislava62045:96
30Breidablik61236:115
31Shamrock Rovers61147:134
32Hacken60335:83
33Hamrun61054:113
34Shelbourne60240:72
35Aberdeen60243:142
36Rapid Vienna60153:141