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Lech Poznan vs Wisla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Poznan, Poznań
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Kozubal A.
Assist: Bengtsson L.
56' Event
Krzyzanowski J.
Assist: Duarte F.
57' Event
Walemark P.
Assist: Rodriguez P.

AI Match Summary

Lech Poznan in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lech Poznan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lech Poznan
20%
Draws
33%
Wisla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lech Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Wisla haven't matched Lech Poznan's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Lech Poznan taking it.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 11%
Wisla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan Wisla
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 21 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.48 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Wisla
3:1
Mar 13, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Wisla vs Lech Poznan
1:1
Sep 17, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Wisla
5:0
May 8, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Wisla vs Lech Poznan
1:2
Dec 19, 2020 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Wisla
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozubal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walemark P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Wisla Compare

Top Goalscorer Krzyzanowski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan 56 / 100
Wisla 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan Wisla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lech Poznan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Wisla conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lech Poznan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan VS Wisla
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan

(Home)
31 Oct
Lech Poznan
3 : 1
Wisla
28 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0
Lech Poznan
25 Oct
Legia
1 : 2
Lech Poznan
22 Oct
Lech Poznan
1 : 1
Sunderland
18 Oct
Lech Poznan
6 : 1
Korona Kielce
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Wisla

(Away)
31 Oct
Lech Poznan
3 : 1
Wisla
24 Oct
Wisla
2 : 1
Rakow Czestochowa
16 Oct
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0
Wisla
11 Oct
Legia
2 : 0
Wisla
02 Oct
Piast Gliwice
3 : 4
Wisla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lech Poznan 12 10 1 1 32:11 31
2 Gornik Zabrze 13 8 4 1 21:11 28
3 Legia 13 6 6 1 23:11 24
4 Pogon Szczecin 12 7 3 2 20:12 24
5 Wisla 14 7 3 4 22:19 24
6 Zaglebie 13 6 4 3 16:15 22
7 GKS Katowice 13 7 0 6 25:19 21
8 Piast Gliwice 13 6 3 4 24:20 21
9 Motor Lublin 14 5 4 5 22:24 19
10 Jagiellonia 12 6 0 6 17:18 18
11 Korona Kielce 13 5 3 5 14:19 18
12 Wisla Plock 13 4 3 6 14:21 15
13 Cracovia 14 3 3 8 16:23 12
14 Widzew Lodz 13 1 8 4 17:19 11
15 Radomiak Radom 13 3 2 8 15:29 11
16 Slask Wroclaw 13 2 3 8 17:25 9
17 Rakow Czestochowa 13 3 0 10 19:29 9
18 KS Wieczysta Krakow 13 2 2 9 17:26 8
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)