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Lech-UAM Poznan W vs Leczna W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Lefeld K.
59' Event
Lefeld K.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Zwiazek O.

AI Match Summary

Leczna W in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leczna W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lech-UAM Poznan W
39%
Draws
30%
Leczna W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leczna W lately — more wins on the board than Lech-UAM Poznan W.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leczna W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 23%
Leczna W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech-UAM Poznan W Leczna W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 22
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs Leczna W
1:3
Apr 1, 2026 Polish Cup Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs Leczna W
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Leczna W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech-UAM Poznan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwiazek O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Leczna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lefeld K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Redzia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech-UAM Poznan W 33 / 100
Leczna W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech-UAM Poznan W Leczna W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech-UAM Poznan W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lech-UAM Poznan W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Leczna W conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lech-UAM Poznan W VS Leczna W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667