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Lech-UAM Poznan W vs Pogon Szczecin W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lech-UAM Poznan W host Pogon Szczecin W in the Ekstraliga Women. This has Pogon Szczecin W written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Lech-UAM Poznan W at 1.6 goals for, 2.17 against; Pogon Szczecin W at 3.03 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Pogon Szczecin W slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Pogon Szczecin W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Lech-UAM Poznan W
15%
Draws
76%
Pogon Szczecin W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pogon Szczecin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Lech-UAM Poznan W haven't matched Pogon Szczecin W's recent run of results.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Szczecin W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech-UAM Poznan W Pogon Szczecin W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 20
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.6 3.03
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs Pogon Szczecin W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech-UAM Poznan W 10 / 100
Pogon Szczecin W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech-UAM Poznan W Pogon Szczecin W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogon Szczecin W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech-UAM Poznan W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Pogon Szczecin W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Lech-UAM Poznan W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lech-UAM Poznan W VS Pogon Szczecin W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech-UAM Poznan W

(Home)
03 Oct
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
3 : 1
Lech-UAM Poznan W
27 Sept
Slask Wroclaw W
2 : 2
Lech-UAM Poznan W
22 Aug
Lech-UAM Poznan W
0 : 3
Leczna W
15 Aug
Legia W
4 : 3
Lech-UAM Poznan W
08 Aug
Lech-UAM Poznan W
0 : 5
GKS Katowice W
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Pogon Szczecin W

(Away)
04 Oct
Pogon Szczecin W
1 : 2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
26 Sept
UKS SMS Lodz W
0 : 2
Pogon Szczecin W
29 Aug
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin W
22 Aug
Pogon Szczecin W
5 : 0
Slask Wroclaw W
16 Aug
UJ Krakow W
1 : 4
Pogon Szczecin W
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